Seifert’s fate may reveal if GOP is ready to win

Tom West, West Words

Tom West, West Words

In the last two weeks, I had the opportunity to participate in a conference call with Gov. Mark Dayton and also to sit in on a Q-and-A session with one of the Republican candidates seeking his job, Marty Seifert.

The conference call with Dayton came while he was in his car returning to the Mayo Clinic to have his body cast refitted after recent hip surgery. The governor reported being well on the way to recovery because for the first time in more than a year he can take a step without pain.

The encounter with Seifert was at a meeting of about 20 Republicans at the Little Falls Public Library, so instead of editors doing the asking, it was Republicans.

Seifert has a good chance of being the GOP nominee for two reasons. First, he is the only non-metro candidate in the race, which contrasts sharply with Dayton and his new running mate, Tina Smith, both of Minneapolis.

Second, “buyers’ remorse” is prevalent in some Republican circles because the party opted for Tom Emmer over Seifert in the 2010 gubernatorial endorsement contest.

“In 2010,” Seifert said, “the mood of the party was ‘Let’s burn the capitol down,’ and that’s not me.”

The party went with the take-no-prisoners style of Emmer, and Seifert’s supporters want a do-over after Emmer’s inept campaign led to Dayton’s victory.

Still, it remains questionable whether the Republican mood has changed, because Emmer is now the odds-on favorite to replace Michele Bachmann in the 6th Congressional District.

Voters will get a good indication if the Republicans have taken the edge off by whom they select to run for governor. Seifert was House Minority Leader for a term after they lost control of the House in 2006.

He received the most votes during a straw poll at precinct caucuses last month, but he also led in straw polls four years ago before losing out to Emmer.

Both parties go through periods when they turn inward, and fight over the purity of their own candidates’ beliefs. When they turn inward, that inevitably leads to losing until they finally refocus on what they agree on and what may get their candidates elected.

That’s what the Democrats did in 2012, and then, in a spasm of boldness rarely seen in this state, they enacted virtually all of their campaign promises while Republicans sulked, complaining that the electorate must have been uninformed.

The two interviews helped focus on what both sides see as the biggest issues come this fall.

Taxes and spending are up there, as usual and Dayton said he is most proud of being able to repay the state’s school districts their full allotment of state aid.

Health care is also high on both lists, but Dayton doesn’t defiantly defend MNsure after its stumbling roll-out. He seems intent on fixing the glitches..“The first months were a nightmare,” he said.

The GOP does get a glimmer of hope, however, because so many DFLers are dismissing the president’s promise that turned out to be untrue, “You can keep your health care plan if you want to.”

Seifert said, “140,000 Minnesotans lost their health care and premiums are up double-digits,” adding, “They’re not all Republicans, but they’re angry. I run into them every day.”

Those who think only the government knows how much health insurance people need have a commonality with those who think the electorate is uninformed: The greater public does not take kindly to poorly focused insults.

A sleeper issue that Seifert raised is the new Vikings stadium. I’ve said for years that it was a “loser” issue, in that no matter what happened, politicians should aim to be on the losing side. Either the taxpayers were going to build the Vikings a new stadium or the team was going to leave. Either way, there was going to be second guessing. The bill landed on Dayton’s desk, and he signed it. Those decisions are the responsibility that come with the job.

However, the funding mechanism, electronic pulltabs, has proven to be a debacle, and personal seat licenses (Four seats on the 50-yard-line will cost $38,000 in licenses and $16,000 for the game tickets in the first year) gives Seifert a certain resonance when he says, “So who is giving millions to billionaires? Not me.”

A third issue is the broadly defined environment. Democrat environmentalists are fighting the PolyMet copper-nickle mining plan in northeastern Minnesota, while Republicans are fighting for new jobs up there. Seifert said, “After treating it, the water out of PolyMet will be five times cleaner than municipal drinking water.”

Meanwhile in southeastern Minnesota, silica mining with fracking is also an issue Dayton said, “In Wisconsin, they let unmitigated devastation occur. Everybody (in Minnesota) got the word to shape up or ship out” adding, “The economic gains are not worth the risk to that area.”

A third eco-issue for Central Minnesota is the claims by some DFLers that oil trains need greater regulation. All it would take is a derailment near Little Falls dumping several tankers into the Mississippi, and we could have our own Exxon Valdez disaster.

A clear indication of whether the Republicans are ready to govern will be revealed by whom they endorse. The early polls make Dayton the favorite regardless, but Seifert could make it interesting. Choose someone similar to Emmer, and the most pain the governor feels in 2014 will have been pre-Mayo.

Tom West is the editor and general lmanager of the Record. Reach him at (320) 616-1932 or email at tom.west@mcrecord.com.

  • Jody Scott Olson

    “After treating it, the water out of PolyMet will be five times cleaner than municipal drinking water.” If Robin Hensel would have made this assertion she would have been expected to cite her sources! Seriously how stupid does Marty think we are.

    “140,000 Minnesotans lost their health care and premiums are up
    double-digits,” adding, “They’re not all Republicans, but they’re angry.
    I run into them every day.” He’s of course referring to the policies that didn’t meet the minimum standard of the affordable care act, so they were required by law to be replaced with a better policy that met the federal guideline. There’s a difference between losing insurance completely and having your policy replaced with a better one.

    We haven’t even started campaign season and already we’re ankle deep in bs,…jeez.

    • josh

      Obama and the Democrats are the reason why people lost their health coverage. But go ahead and support the failure of a bill. If it was such a huge success Obama wouldn’t have had to delay his own law multiple times (which is unconstitutional by the way) and they wouldn’t have to push so hard to get people to sign up for it. If a product is good it will sell itself. Whoever gets in for governor this next round I hope it won’t be another tax and spend politician like Mr. Dayton. They party over having a balanced budget but have to do it not by actually balancing the budget but by taxing working Minnesotans even more. It is legalized theft but yet it is the people fault for voting in politicians who do this without even blinking an eye.

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